Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.030792 0.033103 0.035518 0.038232 0.041202 0.044357 0.047970
2025-06-01 0.026672 0.029902 0.033453 0.037659 0.042525 0.047999 0.054653
2025-06-08 0.023774 0.027487 0.031726 0.036952 0.043259 0.050677 0.060134
2025-06-15 0.021779 0.025811 0.030555 0.036596 0.044150 0.053371 0.065616
2025-06-22 0.020206 0.024450 0.029572 0.036277 0.044919 0.055818 0.070820
2025-06-29 0.018744 0.023083 0.028436 0.035612 0.045109 0.057432 0.074945
2025-07-06 0.017943 0.022470 0.028174 0.035997 0.046620 0.060796 0.081592
2025-07-13 0.017090 0.021722 0.027667 0.035989 0.047554 0.063388 0.087301
2025-07-20 0.016494 0.021264 0.027495 0.036393 0.049038 0.066789 0.094383
2025-07-27 0.015737 0.020540 0.026914 0.036175 0.049602 0.068878 0.099636
2025-08-03 0.015044 0.019863 0.026350 0.035931 0.050087 0.070845 0.104805
2025-08-10 0.014422 0.019248 0.025834 0.035712 0.050571 0.072809 0.110080
2025-08-17 0.013878 0.018721 0.025421 0.035626 0.051258 0.075140 0.116168
2025-08-24 0.013247 0.018041 0.024755 0.035126 0.051272 0.076410 0.120586
2025-08-31 0.012621 0.017340 0.024024 0.034481 0.051012 0.077205 0.124230
2025-09-07 0.012132 0.016815 0.023523 0.034156 0.051225 0.078761 0.129296
2025-09-14 0.011685 0.016333 0.023062 0.033862 0.051460 0.080351 0.134526
2025-09-21 0.011184 0.015749 0.022421 0.033251 0.051133 0.080955 0.137975
2025-09-28 0.010963 0.015574 0.022392 0.033605 0.052419 0.084395 0.146997
2025-10-05 0.010664 0.015270 0.022149 0.033598 0.053086 0.086782 0.154196
2025-10-12 0.010474 0.015123 0.022140 0.033969 0.054415 0.090425 0.164175
2025-10-19 0.010161 0.014773 0.021799 0.033769 0.054730 0.092234 0.170604
2025-10-26 0.009860 0.014431 0.021455 0.033545 0.054986 0.093939 0.176954